College Football Picks for 9/11/22
1:00 PM EST
Saints -5.5 over Falcons (loss)
Saints/Falcons Over 43 (win)
The Falcons return the least amount of production in the NFL on the defensive side as just three of their top eleven tacklers return from last year. Jameis Winston should find his targets, and the Saints running game should be able to move the ball against a defensive unit that isn’t familiar with each other yet. Marcus Mariota starts for the Falcons as the Matt Ryan QB era is over. Mariota is now a veteran and can move with his legs if needed. The Saints secondary has a few injuries and will be playing in their first game without Malcolm Jenkins, who retired after a great career, and Marcus Williams is now with Baltimore. New Orleans will only have two of their top five tacklers from one year ago in this game. Atlanta should be able to catch them for some points. I think the Saints will win this game and the over is a good safe bet if the Falcons get a backdoor cover. Take both the Saints and the Over.
1:00 PM EST
Eagles/Lions Over 48.5 (win)
The Eagles and Saints will play indoors so that the weather will be no factor this afternoon. Jalen Hurts back at QB for Philly. Hurts is a pure duel threat QB with many receivers and running backs at his disposal this year. Look for the Eagles to score many points behind their veteran offensive line. This year, Jared Goff looks to get his team out of the NFC North basement. The Lions, too, have great running backs and a lot of underrated pass catchers. Both defenses are good but lack depth at this moment. The season’s first game always creates injuries and keeps players out of breath. I believe both offenses today will put points on the board. Take the Over.
4:25 PM EST
Giants/Titans Over 44 (loss)
The first thing I want to point out in this game is that the Giants have weak cornerbacks to start the season, and the Titans also have a thin secondary today. Derrick Henry should run the ball well enough for Ryan Tannehill to take his shots downfield. The Giants’ defense has very little depth and consists of players who were all on other rosters last year. I believe the Giants’ offense will be decent today, but I can’t back a team in week 1 with a new coaching staff. David Jones has a lot of good receivers, and he can move the ball with his feet. Look for new Giants head coach Brian Daboll to open up the passing game and not play scared. Saquon Barkley is healthy and should make this offense a balanced attack. Take the Over.