Sunday October 25th VIP Picks

Saints vs Panthers

NFL
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #451
Browns -3.5 over Bengals (loss)
In the first match up this year we had the Bengals and we got a few late TD’s in the game to get us the cover.   I think the Browns take care of business on the road today with their defensive line.  Joe Burrow has been so impressive this year, but it’s hard for rookie QB’s to win football games when good defensive lines are putting him on his back every single play.   This Bengals team allows a lot of sacks which is the kiss of death when trying to put up points on the scoreboard.  I would say the Browns are not as good as their record, but this is a favorable match up for them and in a divisional game it’s key to have.  Baker Mayfield should have no problem scoring today and you have to figure this Bengals Defense is rattled after blowing a monster lead in Indianapolis last week.  Take the Browns.

NFL
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #461
Saints -6.5 over Panthers (loss)
This Saints team isn’t going to light up the scoreboard without Michael Thomas in the lineup, but today Drew Brees should be able to find all of his targets against a poor Panthers Defense and against a new defensive coaching staff.  The Panthers are not a great team and their offensive line is dealing with a few injuries today.  Teddy Bridgewater returns back to play his former team so they know his tendencies.  The Panthers will be getting Christian McCaffery back next week, but without him I don’t like their chances in an important divisional game.  The Saints should have a field day today running the ball against a bad run defense.  The bottom line in this game is you have decades of coaching experience with the Saints going against a rookie staff.   The Saints should win by double digits.  Take New Orleans.

NFL
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #464
Jets +10 over Bills (win)
These are the types of picks that if you lose people say why on earth did you bet the Jets?  I get it, but hear me out.  When it comes to sports gambling the better team doesn’t always cover or we would ALL be rich.  The Bills have really looked awful this year on defense.  The Jets get Sam Darnold back today and I think he can move the ball and they can also run the ball against a team lacking serious confidence right now.  Only great teams deserve to be double digit road favorites, this Bills team ain’t one of them.  I see this being a tight game that the Bills just get by in.  The public is all over Buffalo today. Th Jets Defense has talented players that just need to do their job and they should stay inside of the number.    Take the Jets.

NFL
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #466
Texans +3 over Packers (loss)
Texans/Packers Over 56 (loss)
Aaron Rodgers and Aaron Jones had awful games last week and get a chance to redeem themselves against a poor rush defense and poor passing defense.  The Packers should light up the scoreboard.  The Texans are coming off a heartbreaking loss in a game they should have won  This team moved the ball well and I would say has one of if not the most talented group of skilled players in the league on their roster.  Green Bay has a poor passing defense in addition to being banged up.  The Texans should light up the scoreboard.  Aaron Rodgers has not been a great road QB in his career so they are beatable.  In a back and forth game I will also take the points.  This should be the most entertaining game on the board today.  Take the Texans and the Over.

NFL
4:25 PM EST
Rotation #479
Jaguars +7.5 over Chargers (loss)
Jaguars/Chargers Over 49 (win)
The public money is heavy on the Chargers today, but here is why I am taking the Jags.  Justin Herbert has never won an NFL Game.  So if you bet the Chargers you are banking on him winning and winning by a big margin.  That’s odds I will take with the Jags.  The Carolina Panthers rolled into this building with a brand new coaching staff and team and won so why can’t the Jags?  The Chargers still have a banged up offensive line so the young Herbert might throw some interceptions of fumbles that lead to quick points.  The Chargers love to throw the deep ball so that is good for points.  Los Angeles will get Ingram and Jones back on the defensive line today, but they are not in game shape and will actually take away time from players who have been in their spot.  I think this unit will be rusty.  The Jags have nothing to lose and I think their offensive line can hold up enough today to keep this game close.  Gardner Minshew is on thin ice.  He needs a big day to keep his job.  Take the Jags and the Over