Blog

NFL Football
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #453-454
Falcons -4 over Broncos (win)
Broncos/Falcons Over 48.5 (win)
The Falcons have looked decent since their coaching change and the Broncos are starting to come together as a football team.  Drew lock is still a pretty young QB so you can’t fully bank on him on the road.  The good news is the Atlanta Defense is nothing to write home about.  Matt Ryan and his offense are built for this stadium much more than the Broncos are.  The Denver Broncos have a lot of injuries up front on their defense line and are banged up at the corner position.  I believe Matt Ryan will be able to find his targets.  This team can hang with anyone in the league IF Julio Jones is on the field.  This should be a high scoring game and Atlanta should get the home win.  Take the Falcons and the Over.

NFL Football
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #457-458
Lions +3.5 over Vikings (loss)
Lions/Vikings Over 51 (win)
The Lions will be without their top receiver Kenny Golladay today, but they will be facing a Vikings Secondary that is missing their top corners and the backups are banged up and very young.  The Packers couldn’t expose them last week because of the wind in Green Bay.  In perfect conditions Matt Stafford will light them up as this team can run a balanced offense.  This young Vikings Secondary will be exposed.  Last week in Green Bay was a gift from the weather gods.  Detroit is not a great defense so the Vikings will get their points as well.  Dalvin Cook was incredible last week so that confidence should carry over to this afternoon.  Both teams will be able to run and throw the ball making them balanced and efficient.  Take the Lions and the Over.

NFL Football
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #459-460
Ravens/Colts Under 48 (win)
The Ravens will not be full strength with their running game as Mark Ingram is doubtful.  This is a Baltimore team that loves to run the ball, but they are playing a Colts Defense that is very balanced.  This is the type of defense that can keep a ground game in check.   Baltimore has a ton of great athletes on their side of the defense and the love to blitz which is not good news for an older Philip Rivers who can’t move around as much anymore.  TY Hilton and is doubtful and the running backs are very young.  I don’t see a lot of long scoring drives for either team and I believe defense will be the story for today.  Take the Under.

NFL Football
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #463
Texans -6.5 over Jags (loss)
The Texans sport a very bad defense, but get a break with Jake Luton getting the start for the Jags.  This is the type of game Houston needs to get some momentum on that side of the ball.  Houston has one of the most talented groups of offensive players in the league and yet it’s their bad defense that overshadows that.  The Jags defense is almost just as bad so I do see the Texans putting up a lot of points.  This game comes down to a bad Jags team breaking in a new QB.  This is a defense that gives up points in bunches and I just don’t expect them to be competitive for 4 quarters.  I don’t think Luton can bring them back in a game.  Take the Texans. 

NFL Football
4:25 PM EST
Rotation #469
Steelers -14.5 over Cowboys (loss)
Taking a huge road favorite against a team that is 0-8 against the spread is asking for heartbreak, but come on!  The Cowboys are on their 5th option at QB in Garrett Gilbert, Zeke Elliott might sit this game out and the offensive line is a mess.  Are they really going to put up points against the best defense in the NFL?  The Steelers on the other hand are loaded on both sides of the ball.  Over the course of 60 minutes they simply will pull away much like teams of lesser talent has done.  The Cowboys would need a few flukes to go their way in order to stay in this game.  Take the Steelers.