Picks for 1/1/25
College Football
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #269
Texas -13.5 over Arizona State (loss)
We have seen blowouts so far in the College Football playoffs. Arizona State +13.5 is an outstanding value for a program 11-2 against the spread this year, which was second best in the nation. Public money will be all over Arizona State. It’s remarkable what they did this season when the “experts” had them finishing last in the BIG 12. The game will play out like last night’s Boise/PSU Game. Texas will be the better school and slowly put the Sun Devils away. Arizona State running back Cam Scattebo is one of the country’s best backs, but it will be hard to run against the Texas front seven. Arizona State must start fast because it will be a massive challenge against the best pass defense in college football trying to fight back. The Longhorns are an offensively gifted team that begins with an experienced offensive line that can open up running lanes and protect Quinn Ewers enough to find a host of outstanding targets down the field. Take Texas.
College Football
5:00 PM EST
Rotation #272
Oregon +2.5 over Ohio State (loss)
At some point, we were going to get a rematch. The Buckeyes and Ducks played in a close battle at Oregon. It will be interesting to see how they play on a neutral field. Ducks QB Dillion Gabriel will make a lot of money at the next level soon as he completed 73% of his passes this year and has over 150 career touchdowns. The Ducks have the most talented receiver room in America and can switch up the pace by handing the ball off to Jordan James or Noah Whittington. Both teams are tremendously gifted, with veteran experience on the defensive side. I like the Ducks offense a bit more. Oregon is used to playing at the Rose Bowl venue, and I believe Dillon Gabriel is the best player on the field. He will spark his team to victory in an instant classic. Let’s see our first underdog cash in the college football playoffs. Take Oregon.