Thursday November 25th Betting Talk

Predictions NFL Tips

12:30 PM EST
Rotation #105
Bears -3 over Lions (loss)
Bears/Lions Over 41.5 (loss)
Jared Goff is going to try to give it a go for the Lions and it looks like it will be Andy Dalton for the Bears.  If Goff can’t go it will be Tim Boyle.   All of these QB’s are good for a defensive INT score and both pass defenses have been pretty brutal this year so on a short week I do like the Over. There are just not many players on both rosters that can sack the QB.  All of the really good sack artist are on IR or injured for this game.  I think we will see more points because of short fields.  I have been impressed with D’Andre Smith at running back for the Lions, but have little faith in this passing attack to play well enough to win the football game.  The Lions right side of the offensive line is out so it will make it that much harder.   Andy Dalton is a veteran QB and looked pretty good last week.  The Bears have a talented offensive roster and are an elite QB away from being a good team.  Detroit played well against a hobbled Baker Mayfield last week, but their pass defense is still really bad and they can’t stop the run.  The Bears defense is not much better, but this team has won games.  The Lions have yet to register a win so with a new coaching staff they are going to have to prove they can do it first before they can be backed.  Take the Bears and the Over.

4:30 PM EST
Rotation #107
Raiders +7.5 over Cowboys (win)
Dallas has been night and day this year, but they are not the same team when Elliott is nursing an injury, the offensive line is banged up and Cooper and Lamb are banged up at receiver.  This offense was pushed around last week by a bad defense because they just don’t have their weapons at full strenght.  On defense the Cowboys are still dealing with an defensive line missing key player.  I like the backend of this Dallas defense, but I think the Raiders can move the ball on the ground today with  Jacobs and Drake.  Las Vegas has a lot of really good talent and they are capable of beating teams in the air.  I think on a short week this line is set too high.  I like Las Vegas in the trenches today and believe the can win this game outright.  This number has great value. Take the Raiders.

8:20 PM EST
Rotation #109
Bills-6.5 over Saints (win)
Josh Allen has struggled a bit the last few weeks but it has not been his offensive lines fault.  The Saints have a very good pass defense and Buffalo is a throw first team so Allen has to be on point.  My concern today with the Saints is the offense.  Taysom Hill being QB and the Saints not having Alvin Kamara is such a big loss.  Mark Ingram just got back in town a few weeks ago and he is banged up.  The Saints might have backups at running back and again I just am not scared of Taysom Hill beating the best defense in the NFL.  New Orleans is banged up on the offensive line and they have no depth at all.  The Saints are missing big key receivers and I don’t see a lot of points in their forecast.  The Bills have a good offensive line that can take advantage of the Saitns Defensive line which is missing a few pass rushers.  The Bills over 60 minutes should pull away.  Favorites have been awful this year so there is a reason why Vegas made the Bills such big favorites on the road.  Buffalo is the more complete team and should win big.  Take the Bills.