Super Bowl LIII Pick

SUPER BOWL LIII
6:30 PM EST  (Sunday)
Rotation #101-102
Rams +2.5 over Patriots
Rams/Patriots Over 56
There is no need for me to point out how incredible Tom Brady is.  I would be pointing out something you already know.  I look at the entire body of work in the NFL Season and see a Patriots team that should not be favored on the road.  This team could be playing the Arizona Cardinals and still shouldn’t be a favorite.  The Patriots have stunk on the road this year.  Let’s just be honest about it.  This team lost the Jags, Lions, Titans, Dolphins and Steelers this year on the road.  How many of those teams made the playoffs?  This dynasty has been the most impressive run in all of sports history, but it’s coming to a close and these current Patriots are not an elite team outside of Foxboro.  I also want to point out that no QB has ever won a Super Bowl in their 40’s.  Brady is 41.  Offensively, this Patriots team has all the tools to win this game.  The Defense is the major concern I have with them.  This is a below average defensive line and this current defense does not measure up to some of the prior units the Patriots have fielded in their Super Bowl runs.  Brady is great when playing indoors.  This man is the best player to ever play in the NFL.  Even if he has a Super Bowl like last year the question is will it be enough?

Let’s talk about the Rams.  The city of L.A. got two teams back in the area and are building a billion dollar stadium.  Things are really looking up for L.A area football.  Jared Goff has been sensational this season.  Todd Gurley has been on another planet up until he got hurt.  CJ Anderson came out of nowhere and looks better than Gurley.  If Gurley is healthy this 1-2 combo is going to be tough to stop.  The loss of Cooper Kupp was big for this team, but they have overcome a lot and are worthy of their appearance.  The New Orleans Saints game will go down as the worst call in NFL History, but let’s not blame the Rams for that.  The most impressive thing about this team is their rock solid offensive line.  Not one player has missed a start.  This well-oiled machine should have their way with the weaker Patriots Defensive Line.  When I look at the Rams I see little flaw in them.  This is a team that had as bad of a first quarter on the road two weeks ago and still never quit against the Saints.  The Rams are lead upfront by nightmare players like Aaron Donald and Ndamukong Suh who can force turnovers.  This team has the advantage in the trenches.  Sean McVay has done a tremendous job.  This guy is 33 years old.  Wade Phillips is a tremendous guru for the defensive side.  The Rams have a bright future for years to come.

I believe this will be a very entertaining football game.  The Patriots just get things done no matter what the critics say and look..here they are again back in the Super Bowl.  The Rams built a team with many new faces and have molded themselves into a power house.  I believe New England will win this game in dramatic effect, but they will NOT cover.  It’s a bold prediction, but L.A just has so many weapons on offense that I don’t think the Patriots can stop.  Bill Belichick is a master of second half adjustments, but this year that has not been the case.  A lot of teams have stormed their way back against New England.  Last week the Chiefs held the ball for like 4 minutes and scored 24 fourth quarter points.  This defense is not at a Super Bowl quality level.   The fact that this is a neutral site where the crowd noise won’t be a factor is huge for both offenses.  Both defenses are poor at stopping the run so I believe both QB’s will have their way.  This is why I am taking the OVER. Both QB’s are great on 3rd down as well.  As for the side, I like the Rams.  I think the Rams have all of the tools to win this game, but in the final seconds I could see New England winning at the gun in typical dramatic fashion.  The NFL probably would love to avoid controversy with New Orleans fans as well.  L.A. winning would really set the sports talk radio and TV stations on fire for the next week.  Either way on paper this Rams team is much better, but Tom Brady is a miracle maker.  This should come right down to the wire again.  Just for fun I say 35-34 Patriots.  Take the Rams and the Over (Both straight bets.  No Parlays.)

SUPER BOWL TOP 10 PROP BETS

  1. Rams Team Total Over 27.5 Points -115
  2. Tom Brady (NE) Over 0.5 Interceptions -135
  3. Jared Goff Passing Yards  (LA) Over 285.5 -115
  4. Jared Goff Total TD Passes  (LA) Over 2 -125
  5. Total Passing Receptions Sony Michel (NE) Over 0.5 -110
  6. Total Tackles John Johnson (LA) Over 6.5 -100
  7. First Rams Touchdown Gerald Everett +1200
  8. First Patriots Touchdown James White +400
  9. Will James White (NE) score a touchdown = YES -105
  10.  Will Cordarrelle Patterson (NE) score a touchdown = YES +375
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