Sunday September 28th Betting Recap

Picks for 9/28/25 

NFL
1:00 PM ET
Rotation # 255
Saints +14.5 over Bills (win)
There is a rule that is often best to follow: don’t bet on a team that you don’t think can win the game outright. We will break that rule in this spot. The Saints sit at 0-3 and have failed to cover all three times. The oddsmakers pump up lines knowing more action will be on one side. One area of concern for the Bills is their defensive line. Ed Oliver is out, and two key back-ups are serving a suspension for the first half of the season. Matt Milano is out of the lineup. The Saints still have a quality back in Alvin Kamara, and QB Spencer Rattler can move almost as well as Josh Allen on the Bills’ side. The Bills are an explosive football team, but they might be looking ahead to a Sunday Night divisional game against the Patriots next week and might not reveal all their bag of tricks. Look for New Orleans to stay within the number. Take the Saints.

NFL
1:00 PM EST
Rotation # 260
Falcons -1.5 over Commanders (win)
Washington takes to the road without its starting quarterback, Jayden Daniels. The Commanders are also without their top running back, Austin Ekeler, for the remainder of the year. Before week one, they traded away their original number one back, Brian Robinson, to the 49ers. Top Wide receiver Terry McLaurin will miss today’s game, and Noah Brown will also miss today’s game. Atlanta was embarrassed on the road last week, getting shut out 30-0 by the Panthers of all teams. Michael Penix’s job might be on the line in today’s game. The Falcons’ coaching staff is on the thinnest of ice. The talent gap in the NFL is razor-thin. Washington on the road is missing too many key players, and Atlanta must take advantage. Take the Falcons.

NFL
4:05 PM EST
Rotation # 270
Rams -3.5 over Colts (win)
The Colts are red-hot out of the gates, winning and covering their first three. Daniel Jones looks like Payton Manning. The Rams have also looked good, but lost in the worst way at the horn in Philadelphia in a game they dominated. LA is looking to get back on track at home behind a big offensive line and a good running game. Look for Los Angeles to try to win the time of possession by slowing down the game to keep Daniel Jones and Jonathan Taylor off the field. When the Rams can spread the field, they will have advantages, as the Colts are down a few key guys in the secondary and lack depth. Indianapolis will be without receiver Alec Pierce, and Matt Goncalves will be missing on the offensive line. Take the Rams.

NFL
4:25 PM EST
Rotation # 274
Chiefs +2.5 over Ravens (win)
Chiefs/Ravens Over 48.5 (win)
The Ravens have looked outstanding, but two Derek Henry 4th quarter fumbles have cost them two losses this year. The Chiefs also sit at 1-2; by nightfall, one of these teams will be in a hole to start the year. The Ravens’ defense has not looked good, and this afternoon, it is missing two defensive linemen: Broderick Washington and Nnamdi Madubuike. Travis Jones was limited in practice due to a knee injury. Kyle Van Noy missed last week’s game with a hamstring issue and did not practice in full this week. The Kansas City offensive line can find weak points and exploit them. Isiah Pacheco and Kareem Hunt will be able to soften up the front seven enough for Patrick Mahomes to find his receivers downfield. Ravens QB Lamar Jackson is a nightmare to prepare for, and if Henry can hold onto the ball, this offense is impossible to slow down. Both teams are well-balanced and should put up a lot of offense. Kansas City, being the underdog, has decent value. Take the Chiefs and the Over. No Parlays.