NFL
Bengals -7 over Dolphins (push)
Bengals/Dolphins Over 43.5 (win)
Rotation #459 / 1:00 PM ET

The Bengals hit the road after two tight losses and won’t take the Dolphins lightly, even at 0-4. Cincinnati needs a get-right game as Zac Taylor’s team faces a new coaching staff in Miami and looks to find its footing. Cincinnati has a size and experience edge on the offensive line, which should open running lanes for Chase Brown and give Joe Burrow time to find his veteran receivers against a young Dolphins secondary. The Bengals hope to have Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins healthy, but Cincinnati should still have opportunities to move the football even if one of its top receivers is limited. Miami has size along its offensive line and at receiver, but with De’Von Achane on injured reserve and Jaylen Wright questionable, the Dolphins could be limited offensively. That should make it hard for Miami to keep pace. I expect both teams to generate enough offense for a high-scoring game, but Cincinnati’s coaching and personnel advantages should let the Bengals pull away. Take the Bengals. Take the Over. No Parlays.

NFL
Texans -6.5 over Titans (win)
Rotation #465 / 1:00 PM ET

It’s a battle of two 0-4 teams. The Titans were expected to struggle under their new coaching staff, but the same wasn’t expected from DeMeco Ryans and the Texans. Houston has a size advantage and an experienced receiving corps that should attack a Tennessee secondary without Amari Hooker. Deep shots should be available, especially with Nico Collins back in the lineup to stretch the field. The Texans also have a significant size advantage on the offensive line, which should give C.J. Stroud time to operate and let the run game flourish against a Titans defense that has struggled to stop the run. Houston has been vulnerable to the deep ball this season. However, Cam Ward hasn’t consistently attacked defenses downfield the way the veteran quarterbacks Houston has faced this year have. Both teams are in desperation mode. The Texans’ coaching staff has been together too long, and the talent gap is too significant for Houston to let this opportunity slip away, especially with DeMeco Ryans taking over defensive play-calling. Houston sports radio won’t be kind to Ryans tomorrow morning if the Texans drop another game. Take the Texans.

NFL
Broncos -3.5 over Chargers (win)
Rotation #467 / 4:05 PM ET

Denver suffered a tough loss last week in a game fueled by several controversial calls, most notably a disputed punt-return fumble. To make matters worse, the Broncos lost two cornerbacks and a key receiver. The Chargers are in pure desperation mode at 0-4, but injuries have decimated their offensive line. Los Angeles will start four rookies along the line today, with nearly every experienced player sidelined. On top of that, the Chargers’ receiving corps will be without Quentin Johnston and Ladd McConkey. Los Angeles doesn’t have the personnel to match up against a veteran Denver defense, even with the Broncos extremely thin at cornerback. Denver’s front seven should overwhelm the inexperienced offensive line and pressure Justin Herbert, limiting his chances to attack downfield. This is the NFL, and teams dealing with this level of offensive attrition rarely fare well. If the Chargers somehow pull it off, you tip your cap and move on. However, you almost never see an injury situation this extreme. Los Angeles is essentially fielding a third-string, preseason-caliber offense in a regular-season game, and that should be too much to overcome. Take the Broncos.

NFL
Ravens +3 over Falcons (win)
Rotation #475 / 8:25 PM ET

The Ravens held a massive lead before halftime last week against the Titans when Lamar Jackson suffered an injury. Baltimore turned to Tyler Huntley in the second half, and the offense went nowhere, eventually letting Tennessee sneak through the back door for the cover. Baltimore made a business decision by taking no unnecessary chances. With the game in hand and the Titans facing an almost impossible comeback against the Ravens’ defense, there was little reason to risk another quarterback injury. Huntley now has a full week to prepare as the starter and should have more of the playbook available. Baltimore has a size advantage on the offensive line and should be able to establish the run with Derrick Henry. Huntley is also a mobile quarterback who can extend drives and move the chains with his legs. Atlanta is dealing with several front-seven injuries that Baltimore should exploit. On the other side of the ball, the Ravens have the personnel to slow down Bijan Robinson and put the Falcons in difficult situations. Baltimore obviously faces challenges with its backup quarterback under center, but Atlanta has its own quarterback uncertainty. Michael Penix Jr. has appeared in just two games this season as the Falcons have played musical chairs at the position. Look for the Ravens to win the battle in the trenches, control the line of scrimmage, and do enough to win on the road. Take the Ravens.