Sunday October 10th Betting Talk

Predictions NBA Tips

1:00 PM EST
Rotation #457-458
Saints/Washington Under 43.5 (loss)
Taylor Heinicke has been OK for the Washington team with no name, but he will face a solid Saints defense  that has great players in all three levels.  Washington is missing a lot of receivers and are predictable in who they are going to target.  This is a banged up running game and I don’t see them lighting up the scoreboard today.  The Saints are another team that are missing key playmakers on the offense and they have issues on their offensive line with guys being out.  Washington has a lot of talent in the secondary that can keep Winston in check.  Take the Under.

1:00 PM EST
Rotation #462
Vikings -10 over Lions (loss)
This is a tough game for Detroit because they have a lot of injuries at running back and injury to their skill players.  This Lions Offensive Line is being shuffled due to injury and I just don’t see them putting together enough solid drives today.  This is a game that Dalvin Cook can use to get back on track as the Lions defense is just not that good.   This pass defense is bad which will help the Vikings to run a balanced attack.   Minnesota does have issues on their defense, but again I don’t believe the Lions are at full enough strength to make them pay.  Look for the Vikings pass rush to get to Jared Goff many times today behind his makeshift offensive line.  Take the Vikings.

1:00 PM EST
Rotation #468
Texans +8 over Patriots (win)
Last week I gave these same Texans plus 17 and they got blown out by Buffalo.  The defense however really did look solid in that game holding Buffalo to field goals and turning them over a few times.  The key for me in this game is two things.  Why do the Patriots get to be huge favorites and how are they going to snap the ball behind an offensive line missing 4 starters today?  This running game will be without James White and remember Mac Jones is just a rookie playing on the road.  The Texans have weapons and they have an offensive line that can at least snap the ball.  This wager isn’t about who the Patriots are playing.  This wager is about value in taking an underdog when a team has injury and covid issues on their offensive line headed by a rookie QB on the road.  Take the Texans.

4:05 PM EST
Rotation #472
Chargers -2 over Browns (win)
The Browns really have progressed as a team.  It was not long ago when their fans wore trash bags over their heads at games.  The thing I don’t like about this offense is their slower pace that limits their possessions.   It is almost like this team can be perfect on every drive and still find themselves on losing sides of games because of field goals or mistakes that happen to everybody.  The Chargers are an aggressive young staff that will push the pace and won’t punt.  In 2021 football it seems like the more aggressive teams win.  The Browns are a good defense, but really are nursing a lot of injuries at all three levels of their defense.  I believe this will hurt them today on the road.  The Chargers defense will make just enough stops to win the game.  Take the Chargers.

8:20 PM EST
Rotation #477
Bills +2.5 over Chiefs (win)
The Chiefs can’t stop the run and are awful against running quarterbacks.  This defense is a mess as we saw Philadelphia torch them last week with a banged up offensive line and a young quarterback.  The Bills have an excellent offensive line and an experienced QB that can take off with his feet.  Buffalo lost in the AFC Championship Game last year in this building so you know they have revenge on their mind and they might be the better overall team this year anyway.  This Bills defense has the players to get a few stops on Patrick Mahomes.  I don’t think the Chiefs can stop anybody.  Take the Bills.