Predictions NFL Tips
1:00 PM EST
Jaguars/Colts Over 47.5 (loss)
The Jaguars got a huge win last week over the Buffalo Bills which has sparked the confidence in this team as they hit the road. Indy got out to a hot start last week and just held on as the Jets 3rd string QB lead a late comeback. The Colts pass defense is really struggling as the Colts secondary is seriously banged up and just doesn’t have the bodies to stop a team that wants to throw the ball. If the score is out of reach they are playing guys that just are not that good and the opposing team is putting up points. On the other side of the ball the Jaguars pass defense is really bad this year. The Colts have a balanced attack and we are starting to see Carson Wentz play a little better as he gets used to his teammates. The Colts offensive line is sold and should protect the QB and open up running lanes. We should see a ton of points in this game. Take the Over.
1:00 PM EST
Bills -13 over Jets (win)
The Jets are turning the page, but they have a weird scenario going on right now as their main QB that is getting paid all the money is soon back from injury. The backup QB’s have looked much better so they have a real problem on their hands. I do think the backups are a little bit of fool’s gold as they played some weak secondaries. Today the Jets offense will face the best defense in the NFL and a team that was humiliated last week to the Jags. Buffalo played great defense, but it was their offense that struggled. The Bills get a chance to get right today against a really bad defense that can’t stop the pass. Josh Allen should be able to get back on track and the running game should be able to open up lanes for big yards. The Jets defense gives up the big play at a high clip and over the course of 60 minutes we should see a good defense get stops and a bad defense give up points. The underdogs are cashing big this year so any double digit spread is a tough spot to pull the trigger on, but I believe we see a complete turnaround from Buffalo today and we will see passes that these Jets backups got away with the last few games getting picked off. Take the Bills.
4:05 PM EST
Vikings +3.5 over Chargers (win)
Vikings/Chargers Over 53 (loss)
The Vikings coaching makes you scratch your head at times, but they do have talent and experience on this offense. The Chargers can’t stop the run so the Vikings should be able to unleash their running backs. The Chargers have a good pass defense, but Joey Bosa is banged up today and the back end players in the secondary are banged up as well. I believe Minnesota will move the ball and put up points with no problem today. The Chargers have a young gun slinger in Justin Herbert that should be able to take advantage of key Vikings injuries at all three levels of their defense today. I think this team will be able to put up points themselves this afternoon. This game should be a shootout and at the end I like the underdog value here for the chances for us to stay inside the number. Take the Vikings and the Over.
4:05 PM EST
Seahawks +3 over Packers (loss)
Seahawks/Packers Over 49.5 (loss)
You know by now that I think trends are for the lazy, but one trend I do look at is ATS win records. The Packers are the best team in the NFL against the spread. That is not a good thing as you don’t want to be wagering on those types of teams as the season draws on because those numbers always come back and even out. Public money loves betting teams that make them money. Vegas wasn’t built because people win money. I also believe in story lines. Russell Wilson is coming back from injury as his teams back is against the wall and in danger of missing the playoffs. This is a must win. Aaron Rodgers went from being on a ton of commercials to now labeled an outcast by the do no wrong self-righteous sports media. As for the game itself the Seahawks have run the ball well and with Wilson back the home run pass will be available. I think Wilson hand is healed because there is no way they would start him if it wasn’t. The Packers are a good team, but there really is no great team in the NFL and I am not impressed with single stand-alone team this year. Green Bay has most of their weapons back, but they have not all played together with Rodgers at QB so there might be a little rust. I do think both offenses will move the ball and I believe we will get points when each team crosses midfield as the kickers are outstanding. Nothing hurts an over play more than a missed FG. Look for balanced attacks from both teams with Russell Wilson winning the game late. Take the Seahawks and the Over.
8:20 PM EST
Chiefs -3 over Raiders (win)
We just talked about the best against the spread team in the Packers and now will talk about one of the worst in the Chiefs. Kansas City has lost people money this year and are slowly being written off by gamblers. Las Vegas has a good running game and the Chiefs are not a good run stopping team, but the reason I am taking Kansas City is because the Raiders don’t have the ability to do what other teams are doing to the Chiefs. Kansas City was exposed last year and teams have copied keeping their defense back and forcing the Chiefs to slowly go down the field knowing they will turn it over or have a penalty to kill a drive. Vegas can’t do this as their secondary is a complete mess right now and they don’t have the veteran IQ in the secondary to pull it off. This one factor should be the difference in the game as the Chiefs will be able to run their offense on their terms. The Raiders are dealing with their own in house issues right now and I don’t think this new coaching staff will out game plan Andy Reid tonight. This is a get right game on prime time TV. Take the Chiefs.