Picks for 1/26/25
NFL
3:00 PM EST
Rotation #102
Eagles -6 over Commanders (win)
What the Commanders have done in the postseason has been incredible. Rookie QB Jayden Daniels, a brand new coaching staff with new players in almost every position, and even a kicker who hasn’t played for three years went on the road twice and won. We know what the Eagles are going to do. Run the football with Saquon Barkley behind the most massive offensive line in the NFL. Games in January typically get decided in the trenches. The Commanders will be without Sam Cosmi on their offensive line and Daron Payne on the defensive line. Behind a roaring home crowd, Philadelphia will win the point of attack and slowly frustrate a Commanders team. Jayden Daniels is a great football player and fun to watch, but he is a rookie against an excellent passing defense. All it takes is one mistake for a game to get away. The betting public looks at their win in Detroit against a MASH unit defense and thinks that is the game they will play today. Homefield advantage means just about everything. Take the Eagles.
NFL
6:30 PM EST
Rotation #104
Chiefs -1.5 over Bills (win)
I can’t remember the last time the general public heavily bet two road underdogs on conference Championship weekend. Homefield advantage is massive. The Chiefs have a veteran coaching staff led by head coach Andy Reid, and the home crowd will be electric. Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes will be able to target his receivers and is happy to know Taylor Rapp will miss the game. Christian Benford is questionable because of a head injury. The Bills passing defense was towards the bottom of the league this season. Buffalo is a great football team, as Josh Allen has been the front-runner for MVP this year. The Bills don’t have any flaws on offense, but they are still on the road in a hostile environment. Teams play all season to get the home game in this spot. It means a lot. Take the Chiefs.