Sunday January 19th VIP Picks

Conference Championship Picks

NFL
6:40 PM EST
Rotation #311
Packers +7.5 over 49ers (loss)
The Packers have a rookie head coach and have to go back to a building in which they were beat up and down the field for four quarters.  There is a saying in gambling that is a good rule.  Never bet on underdogs that you don’t think can win the game outright.  Like every rule there are exceptions.  In today’s case his name is Aaron Rodgers.  This is a guy who has been in big spots like this before. Jimmy Garoppolo has not.  The one over looked area in this football game is the trenches.  San Francisco is not very deep on the offensive line and have a lot of injuries to reserves on the defensive line.  This is a war with the prize be a trip to the Super Bowl.  Having key reserves is big.  San Fran does have limited depth in the trenches.  Green Bay has the offensive line to put up points.  This team is balanced with the running game.  Aaron Jones is a great back that can also catch the ball.  The Packers have a lot of talent receiver that gets overlooked due to how great Davante Adams is.  I believe this game will be a lot closer than the first one.  Take Green Bay.

 

NFL
3:05 PM EST
Rotation #314
Chiefs -7 over Titans (win)
Chiefs/Titans Over 52 (win)

The Chiefs scored over 50 points last week at home and that was in 3 quarters as the first quarter was a disaster.  Houston was poorly coached and let them back in the game.  The Titans would never let a team comeback from 24 points because of Derrick Henry and their conservative approach, but they also can’t comeback from a big number either.  This game boils down to who gets off to a hotter start.  This is where typically home field advantage becomes so big.  Kansas City more or less was knocked out of the playoffs last week, but were given a second chance and they took full advantage by completing and epic comeback.  This offense is on fire and the Titans are not going to stop some of the pure speed after catches are made in these cold conditions.  KC is vulnerable on defense with injuries of their own and I do think the Titans can break some big runs.  Ryan Tannehill has been super impressive this year, but I believe he has hit his ceiling.  This is a Titans team that faced two limited pass offenses in the playoffs so far with New England being below average and the Ravens a run heavy team.  The Titans didn’t have to throw for over 100 yards in either game and still won.  Think about how remarkable that is.  Patrick Mahomes and this offense are going to pass the ball all game and there is no doubt Tennessee is going to have to pass with success to win this game.  I don’t think they can do it for a full four quarters.  Take Kansas City and the Over. 

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