NFL Picks for 1/15/23
1:00 PM EST
Dolphins/Bills Under 44.5 (loss)
The Dolphins are in serious trouble as Tua Tagovailoa is out today, their top running back Raheem Mostert is out, and their offensive line has a lot of injuries. Skylar Thompson will get the start today at QB, and I don’t see them putting up many points. The Dolphins’ defense is no pushover, and they played the Bills well this year, so I don’t see a blowout. Buffalo should easily win this game by just putting up a few scores. Buffalo should know they have the edge early on and coast to a victory. I don’t see a lot of points in this game, as the Bills will want to keep their starters fresh in the second half. Take the Under.
4:30 PM EST
Vikings -3 over Giants (loss)
Vikings/Giants Over 47.5 (win)
The Vikings cannot keep winning close games in the playoffs like they did all year, but this wildcard game should be successful for Minnesota. The Giants will play well today, and the difference will be the familiarity of the Vikings offense, who played together for many seasons. The Giants are a threat when running the ball, but they need better receivers on their roster. The good news for New York is the Vikings’ secondary is among the worst in football. Daniel Jones is an underrated quarterback and can always break off a long run. Minnesota has too much offensive firepower to go down in the first game, but ultimately, their defense will get them knocked out of the playoffs. Look for a high-scoring game. Take the Vikings and the Over.
8:15 PM EST
Ravens +8.5 over Bengals (win)
The Bengals had the luxury of all five starters on the offensive line playing together for 95% of the season. Right tackle Lael Collins went down with a knee injury, and Alex Cappa is out today at right guard. NFL Quarterbacks look different with a patched-up offensive line. The Ravens will be able to run the ball on offense and win the time of possession. QB Lamar Jackson is out again. Tyler Huntley is mobile, and Baltimore has multiple home run hitters at running back. The Bengals are big favorites because Joe Burrow is an outstanding QB, they have an excellent running game, and their receivers are top-notch. Everything, however, comes back to the trenches. The front seven of the Ravens, led by Justin Houston, should be able to put pressure on Burrow and get him off the field. The game tonight will be much closer than most people think. Take the Ravens.