Picks for 2/11/24
Sunday Super Bowl Pick
6:30 PM EST
Rotation #101
49ers -2.5 over Chiefs (loss)
Super Bowl 58 might be the closest matchup on paper we have seen in years. Most of the public money backs the Chiefs. Kansas City covered all three playoff games, while the 49ers didn’t cover both of their games. It’s clear why the betting public favors Kansas City. Another factor is a particular celebrity dating a Chiefs player. Remember that the Super Bowl is not a game; it’s an event. You could make a case for either team, but we are going with the 49ers because they have more depth on both sides of the line of scrimmage. Chiefs left tackle Joe Thuney has yet to practice, and the Kansas City backups on the offensive line lack experience. Derrick Nnadi and Charles Omenihu have been placed on IR, so the Chiefs lack depth on the defensive line. Kansas City could be in serious trouble if anyone gets hurt. Star players get all the glory, but football is a game decided in the trenches. Four years ago, the 49ers blew the Super Bowl to the Chiefs and are out for revenge. The paths to winning the Super Bowl will be different for both teams. The Chiefs will want to throw, while the 49ers will run the ball. Christian McCaffrey is a serious weapon, and his presence allows the 49ers to throw the football when the coverage is favorable. Deebo Samuel being on the field results in big plays from him or other receivers who get less attention. San Francisco had a phenomenal season as they dominated the NFC. It wasn’t until a month ago that Kansas City turned it on. This game will come down to a fortunate bounce. Look for San Francisco to win their first title in almost 30 years. Take the 49ers