Saturday September 18th VIP Picks

Predictions NBA Tips

College Football
12:00 PM EST
Rotation #109-110
Michigan State/Miami Over 56.5 (loss)
One advantage Miami will have right off the bat is the weather.  The humidity and heat really is a factor that teams like Michigan State might not have the conditioning for.  This Spartans Defense has a few key players nursing injuries and outside of their starters doesn’t have much depth.  It will not be fun chasing around D’Eriq King all game.  Both teams have a lot of talent at the skill positions and I like both offensive lines as well.  Michigan State can now run the ball which helps Payton Thorne and this passing game.  There is a balance both teams have that will help push the ball down the field for points on the board.   Miami has shown that their defense needs work so I do believe Michigan State will find the end zone.  Miami will also find the end zone as they have a great duel threat QB and a ton of offensive weapons.  Take the Over.

College Football
3:30 PM EST
Rotation #150
LA Tech +11 over SMU (win)
SMU is a well coached team, but I don’t see such a huge talent gap that they should be favored by this much on the road.  The Mustangs have a lot of very good defenders, but they do have a new defensive coordinator this year so early on in the season is always a learning process with the new defense.  The Bulldogs of Louisiana Tech are looking to turn the page and become a top program in C-USA.  Austin Kendall is a good addition at QB and they brought in a lot of transfer running backs.  This team returns 12 of their top 13 tacklers from last year and should be able to to keep their team in this game with a shot to win at home.  I think this spread is a bit too high.  Take LA Tech.

College Football
6:00 PM EST
Rotation #169
ECU +9.5 over Marshall (win)
East Carolina is very close to becoming a decent football team.  Holton Ahlers is a capable QB and if he can put together 4 full quarters this team can hang in most games.  I think Marshall is a better program, but they did lose a lot of talent from last year and they have a brand new head coach and new defensive coordinator.  I am not so sure a conference USA team should be favored by this much with the turnover from last year and with a new staff.  Look for ECU to be in position to pull an upset late in the 4th quarter.  Take East Carolina.  

College Football
7:30 PM EST
Rotation #185
Virginia +7.5 over UNC (loss)
Virginia has won 4 straight in this series.  This doesn’t mean too much because teams change from year to year so much, but Bronco Mendenhall is a very good coach and the duel threat ability of QB Brennan Armstrong will be annoying for UNC to defend.  North Carolina is good team and Sam Howell is a great QB, but last year this team had one of their better rosters and this year those guys are all in the NFL.  This team lost their top 4 receivers and now Beau Corrales is out and they lost their top 2 running backs from last year.   I think Howell is going to struggle early on because he just doesn’t have the targets he once had.  UVA has a rock solid offensive line and it’s always a mystery on what Brennan Armstrong is going to do.   As long as the Cavs don’t beat themselves they should have a shot at winning outright.  Take Virginia.  

College Football
9:00 PM EST
Rotation #197
Oklahoma State +3.5 over Boise State  (win)
Boise State is from a smaller conference taking on Big 12 talent.  The higher recruited players are obviously on the Cowboys roster, but my main issue with this line is Boise has a brand new staff which includes a 39 year old head coach in Andy Avalos.  Is this guy really going to beat Mike Gundy?  Remember how long ago Gundy was saying “I’m 40.  I’m a man!”  He still was older than Avalos back then.  Gundy has coached a lot of football and if Avalos can beat this team and beat them by this spread you just tip the cap and say well done.  Neither team has been full strength this year so I do think the Cowboys struggles might be a bit of an overreaction.  Spencer Sanders is a good duel threat QB that will give defenders in smaller conferences a lot of trouble.  Hank Bachmeier is a talented QB for the Broncos, but he isn’t very mobile.  Look for the Cowboys defense to get after him.  This is a still a unit that returns 13 of their top 14 tacklers from a year ago and can win games with defense.  Take Oklahoma State.