Saturday October 16th Betting Talk

Predictions NBA Tips

College Football
12:00 PM EST
Rotation #200
Arkansas -4.5 over Auburn (loss)
Both teams come into this game at 4-2 in the SEC.  You get a little gun shy playing Arkansas after the Georgia game as they couldn’t even snap the football, but this game is at home and they have a few edges.  Auburn for starters is still a brand new staff on the road in a tough place to play.  This team can run the ball and their offensive line is decent, but I just don’t trust their passing game much.  This team lost a lot of talent to the NFL this year and it’s hard to replace it that quickly.  I think Arkansas has the edge on both sides of the ball and their awful loss at Georgia and their heartbreaker to Ole Miss on the road really should make this team more mature as they come back home today.   Take Arkansas.

College Football
3:30 PM EST
Rotation #177
Toledo -5 over Central Michigan (loss)
Both teams come into this game sitting at 3-3 in the MAC Conference.   Central Michigan has been pretty bad against the pass which should concern them today against a Toledo team that has a lot of very good receivers.  The injury bug has hit the CMU Offense pretty hard this year as a lot of good running backs and receivers are sidelined.  Toledo has the better football team on both sides of the football.  Both defenses returned  most of their starters from last year, but the Rockets returned 24 of their top 24 tacklers from last year which is almost unheard of in college football.  Take Toledo.

College Football
6:00 PM EST
Rotation #202
UTSA -17 over Rice (win)
I am not a fan of huge favorites, but UTSA has a special team this year due to the massive amount of experience and veteran leadership on the roster.  Rice has the opposite problem as they just don’t have much talent at the skill position.   The Roadrunners of UTSA are a well balanced offense and at home tonight should be able to put up a lot of points.  This team matched the high powered WKU offense last week and should be able to do the same tonight with Rice not being able to match them.  The Owls just don’t have the offensive line and balance on offense to stay in this football game.  Take UTSA. 

College Football
7:30 PM EST
Rotation #193
Ole Miss -1.5 over Tennessee  (win)
Tennessee is getting better and they are going to be a great team once Josh Heupel gets his recruits in place to run this offense.  This current Vols roster has talent, but are not built for this offense.  The faster you play against a good opponent the more mistakes you make.  When you give a good opponent the ball more times they score on you more.  It really is as simple as it sounds.  Ole Miss QB Matt Corral will be playing on Sunday’s and is excited to get a chance to get more possessions today to pad his stats.  I don’t love the fast pace offense that the Vols run.  This is an offense that might work well in smaller conferences, but you are hanging your defense out to dry no matter what as they are always on the field.  Ole Miss is the more complete team with the more experienced coaching staff and I believe they are the better team on both sides of the ball.  The Rebels secondary has a lot of experienced players that are licking their chops for interceptions today.  Take Ole Miss. 

College Football
7:30 PM EST
Rotation #197-198
Iowa State/Kansas State Over 50.5 (win)
Both teams play smart and don’t beat themselves.   It’s always fun watching football between two well coached teams.  The QB’s in this game are tough and can lead their offenses down the field.  I am impressed with Kansas State using more pace this year.  This team has a running back that can hide behind his offensive line and once he gets loose you can forget about tackling him.  KState has great special teams as well which always helps your over bets.  Iowa State has a big offensive line that has a ton of experience.  This team has great running backs and receivers.  I believe the Cyclones can control the line of scrimmage on offense and put up points.  These teams are almost mirror images of each other which should make for a heck of a game.  Take the Over.