4:35 PM EST
Bills/Texans Over 43.5 (loss)
One thing we need to learn from last year is to be cautious on wagering on QB’s playing in their first playoff game. The playoffs are totally different animal. How will Josh Allen respond to the road pressure? That is the question, but in the answer there couldn’t be a better defense to have your first playoff game against. The Texans are brutal in just about every statistical category on the defensive end and the return of JJ Watt is all smoke and mirrors. There is no way Watt is going to be at peak performance to disrupt the game like we know and have seen him do. Buffalo has a great chance in this game and I believe will put up a good amount of points. The backend of this defense is injured and gives up huge plays. It will be up to Deshawn Watson and the Texans to move the ball on a really good defense. Has Watson learned from his postseason disaster from last year? Will Fuller being out of this game really hurts this team as well. I can’t believe they didn’t dress him just to be a distraction. This is going to be a great game. I believe home field advantage is huge because I don’t see Houston winning this game if they were playing in a cold and windy Buffalo. There are perfect indoor conditions this afternoon and I believe both teams will push the offensive pace in this game. Two mobile QB’s that can move the chains with their feet is huge in this one. Take the Over.
8:15 PM EST
Patriots -4.5 over Titans (loss)
I will not talk bad about the Titans because they had a complete turnaround and made the playoffs. What I will say is they face weak defenses and faced nothing close to what New England will bring at the 31 year old Ryan Tannehill. This is Tannehill’s first playoff game, the offensive coordinators first playoff game and head coach Mike Vrabel’s first playoff game. If the Patriots beat the Dolphins last week people might not be giving Tennessee a chance, but all of a sudden because of one football game the entire world is taking the Titans. New England is still a tough place to play and it gets worse at night under the lights with a lunatic passionate crowd that knows the game as well as any fan base. Good luck. The Patriots might not have the best offense this year, but they still have great running backs who can also catch the ball as well. Tom Brady is still the best player in the history of the NFL until he no longer isn’t. The Titans might appear to be the more favorable team here, but it’s going to take a lot from many people who have not been in a playoff setting to play 4 flawless quarters to beat this team. If they do it then hats off. I just think the odds are not on their side. Take the Patriots.