Free MLB Playoff Pick
Brewers -102 over Rays (win)
Rotation #855 / 8:00 PM ET
Listed Pitchers: Gasser/Peralta

The Brewers have built a nice 2-0 series lead. I wouldn’t call it a commanding advantage until a team loses at home, but Milwaukee is firmly in the driver’s seat and can play relaxed and take chances on the basepaths. Tonight’s matchup has an interesting emotional angle: the Rays cannot afford to fall behind 0-3, especially since they share the best home record in baseball with the Brewers. Home-field advantage matters in this series. From an analytical standpoint, Brewers starter Robert Gasser has been nearly flawless on the road recently and now faces a Tampa Bay lineup that ranks among the worst in baseball in slugging percentage against left-handed pitching. Milwaukee also has one of the best bullpens in baseball. The combination of starting pitching, bullpen strength, and the freedom to play aggressively gives Milwaukee the edge. Take the Brewers.