Picks for 12/11/23
NFL
8:15 PM EST
Rotation #129-130
Titans/Dolphins Under 45.5 (loss)
Miami is a big favorite over the Titans tonight. The Titans are a terrible offensive team, as their offensive line is weak. Quarterback Will Levis isn’t the answer for the Tennessee organization. The Dolphins defense should have no problem keeping the Titans in check. Miami should be able to keep Derrick Henry to limit yards, as they are one of the better run defenses in the NFL. The Titan’s bright spot is their rushing defense, as they are good at stopping the run. Tennesse is the complete opposite regarding the pass, as they are one of the worst teams in the league. It’s hard for me to see the Titans staying in the game, but the spread is too high, and the Dolphins are the second top against the spread teams in 2023. You know how that works out in primetime spots like this. The total is the best play for this evening. Miami doesn’t need to run up the score and get injured, knowing they have a brutal end-of-the-season schedule. Take the Under.
NFL
8:15 PM EST
Rotation #132
Giants +6 over Packers (win)
The Packers gained a big upset last week against the Chiefs, so you know the betting public is backing them. Playing at home is much different than on the road. You ask two questions: can the Packers run the ball, and can they stop the run? With Aaron Jones out, they are not as good, and no, they can’t stop the run for the life of them. It is much easier to win on the road when you have those two things going for you. The Packer’s offense will also be without receiver Christian Watson tonight. Aaron Jones is also a great receiver, so they will miss his ability to catch out of the backfield. Jaire Alexander is out of the game tonight, delivering a massive hit to the Packer’s secondary. Giants QB Tommy DeVito is already a favorite due to his personality and Italian heritage. The Giants will not make the playoffs but are playing for roster spots next season. Playing without pressure does wonders for struggling teams. I don’t see why Green Bay should be such a big favorite. Look for Saquon Barkley to have a big game. Take the Giants.