Monday October 5th VIP Picks

Falcons vs Packers

8:50 PM EST
Rotation #279
Falcons +6 over Packers (loss)
Falcons/Packers Over 56.5 (loss)
Home field advantage doesn’t mean anything this year in the NFL so sometimes grabbing points has tremendous value.  Vegas knew Green Bay was going to get all the money tonight, but didn’t make this spread 7.  Why?   This is a 3-0 team vs team that is 0-3.  You know how the public is going to bet.  Do they like losing money? Of course they don’t!  Atlanta has a brutal defense.  I am not so sure Raheem Morris will make it until the end of the year as defensive coordinator.  This secondary has many injuries in it going against Aaron Rodgers. Yikes!    Here is the good news for Atlanta.  Green Bay is without Davante Adams tonight and Allen Lazard.  This team just doesn’t have many downfield receivers.  The Falcons should be able to slow them down on enough drives for their offense to keep this team in the game.  Matt Ryan has not been the problem this year.  The offense for the Falcons has been great.  This is a team that has lost two games in which they dominated.  Julio Jones is back tonight.  The Falcons will be able to work the entire field against a Packers Defense that isn’t really anything to write home about.  I think this game is going to be tighter than most expect and come down to the wire.  Take the Falcons and the Over.