Balfe Report : Monday October 29th

NFL Football
8:15 PM EST
Rotation #275-276
Patriots -13.5 over Bills
Patriots/Bills Over 44.5
In a divisional game you can usually throw out all the records.   You don’t usually see road teams as two touchdown favorites inside of division play.  I think a lot of people are going to take the points tonight because it’s a lot of points and for no other reason.  The Patriots do have flaws on defense.  This team has been beat deep and allowed points to not so great quarterback at time this year.  The problem tonight is the 35 year old Derek Anderson in control of the offense in colder outdoor weather under the bright lights.  I think the game is too fast for his right now as he was just on the coach three weeks ago.  I can see him giving New England short fields 2 or 3 times in this game.  Tom Brady is going to get his points.  I think in a four quarter game the Bills will not be able to keep up.  Anderson is not mobile and won’t be able to pick up enough big third downs to move the chains and keep Brady off the scoreboard.  I think New England is going to score at 35 points in this game and I do think with disinterest late in the game the Bills will be able to put up a score or two.  Totals this low should only be for teams that are really great at running the ball.  That is not the case tonight.  Both QB’s are going to get a ton of possessions which will lead to points.  Take the Patriots and the Over.